According to The Kobeissi Letter, for the four weeks ending June 8th, the median US home list price reached $425,950 while the median sale price was $397,000, resulting in a record gap of $28,950 below list price (source: The Kobeissi Letter, June 20, 2025). This widening gap suggests increasing negotiation power for buyers and a cooling real estate market, which could influence investor sentiment and liquidity flows. Historically, reduced confidence in real estate has sometimes led to increased capital allocation into alternative assets, including cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, as traders seek higher returns and portfolio diversification.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, US existing home sales dropped 3.1% year-over-year to an annualized 4.0 million in April 2025, marking the lowest April reading since 2009. Month-over-month, sales fell 0.5%, significantly missing the expected 2.0% increase, with declines led by the West and Northeast regions (source: The Kobeissi Letter, June 8, 2025). This housing market weakness signals potential tightening in consumer liquidity, a factor that could pressure risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies as investors reassess exposure amid economic uncertainty.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, 44.4% of US home sellers provided concessions to buyers in March 2025, nearing the highest level on record. This figure has climbed by approximately 10 percentage points since July 2024 and has doubled compared to June 2022, indicating increased buyer leverage and potential downward pressure on real estate prices. Notably, Seattle leads major cities, with 71.3% of sellers offering concessions, suggesting regional volatility and heightened trading opportunities for real estate investors and REIT market participants. These trends may signal shifting market dynamics that traders should monitor closely for portfolio allocation and risk assessment (source: The Kobeissi Letter, April 29, 2025).